United States of America Economics
The Impact of Governance & Globalization on Forecasting
(Traducción en Español)
D. Brouse, M. Hammel,
and S. Mukherjee
The Economics Of Y2K
The Membrane Domain
This study was originally published in 1995. In essence, it is a global forecast that predicts a
Social Justification in which humans will force themselves to "tunnel underground".
Abstract: The Tunnel Under Thesis
Planning and control are two traditional
functions of management.
Once a plan has been determined, it must be carried
out. The cost involved in controlling the plan
is dependent on the quality of the plan.
The quality of the planning function depends largely on
the ability to forecast events and trends with accuracy and
Forecasting methodologies, such as qualitative
analyses, time series analysis & projection,
and econometric models, are widely used throughout
U.S. businesses and governmental agencies.
The chaotic relationship of
three key factors is likely to make
traditional forecasting tools and methods increasingly unreliable:
- control of digital distribution
Tunneling & Veiling
The result of these three ingredients in the stew
will likely result in a figurative, as well as literal
tunneling underground. Another term for this
type of activity is decentralization.
Control Of Digital Distribution
The forecast for digital distribution suggests that
existing systems for controlling data communications
and digital distribution are failing. As the owners
of the traditional systems attempt to maintain control,
they will actually be the driving force in developing
Examples include peer-to-peer networks and music
When a government wages a war against drugs, or terror,
or any other globally organized illicit activity, there is often a
significant amount of collateral damage to their own
citizens, to their infrastructure and even their system
The Patriot Act and the Homeland Security Department
are examples of the U.S. Federal Government's attempt
to control based on their forecasting methods. However,
the side-effects actually force all people, both
good and bad, to decentralize their activities.
The result is encrypted data tunnels and underground
State governments are experiencing more difficulty
controlling their tax receipts (in large part due to digital distribution
of goods and services). As states try to control taxes based on
your location, they will encourage the development of decentralized
This complicates the already inadequate and convoluted accounting systems in
use by municipal government for over a century. For example, until 1985, many
municipal governments did not have a fixed asset accounting system, nor did they have even
an accurate inventory of all their assets. Therefore, the taxing authorities had no factual
basis on which to tax their constituents.
Pollution (greenhouse gases being a large threat)
irreversible climatic change.
Some people consider the clearing of land to be a form
of pollution. Whether you call it pollution or not, deforestation
certainly compounds the global warming problem.
Again, chaos theory
suggests that meteorological forecasting will be affected
in much the same way as economic forecasting.
And, since the weather is so closely tied to the economy,
the intensity in volatility is likely to be felt in both
areas. [Note: although the Earth's
average temperature may be rising slightly,
the volatility for any given location is rising
Global warming, insect borne and zoonotic viri, particulate matter and ozone pollution, exposure to ultraviolet (UV) radiation, nuclear fallout,
reforms to flood insurance, wildfires, and other weather related
phenomena suggests a more literal tunneling under.
FUD (Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt)
The Sleeping Giant Vs.
The Ghost In The Machine
What to Expect from The Golden Rule's Social Justification
, Think Tank (2003)
© The Philadelphia Spirit
Experiment Publishing Company
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